View Full Version : Defensive Positional Value

01-31-2009, 09:45 AM
ESPN Defensive Positional Value


Espn has an excellent break down of the percentage of NFL starting players (for the 2006 season) and the round they were drafted in..I thought it was very telling as to what positions have better value in later rounds as opposed to what positions should be drafted higher.

Here is the Defensive Breakdown.

Round 1: 32%
Round 2: 12%
Round 3: 11%
Round 4: 7%
Round 5: 9%
Round 6: 12%
Round 7: 5%
Undrafted: 12%
Seventeen teams start at least one first rounder, including 5 of the 7 3-4 defenses..Jacksonville is the only team that starts two first rounders

Round 1: 41%
Round 2: 17%
Round 3: 9%
Round 4: 11%
Round 5: 5%
Round 6: 3%
Round 7: 5%
Undrafted: 9%
Teams tend to look for game changing DE's in the first round, but there are plenty of quality ends to be found in rounds 2-4...and even later.

Round 1: 23%
Round 2: 10%
Round 3: 23%
Round 4: 15%
Round 5: 8%
Round 6: 0%
Round 7: 3%
Undrafted: 18%
Value in every round until the 5th...Most lower round starters are guys with smaller size but outstanding instincts like Gary Brackett,London Fletcher-Baker & Zach Thomas.

Round 1: 27%
Round 2: 17%
Round 3: 16%
Round 4: 16%
Round 5: 8%
Round 6: 6%
Round 7: 3%
Undrafted: 8%
This is the position that follows the most linear downward path from round to round

Round 1: 36%
Round 2: 27%
Round 3: 13%
Round 4: 14%
Round 5: 0%
Round 6: 3%
Round 7: 2%
Undrafted: 6%
You can find starters after round 1..but rarely after round 4......First round busts almost ALWAYS had only one full year as a starter in college.

Round 1: 11%
Round 2: 36%
Round 3: 14%
Round 4: 9%
Round 5: 13%
Round 6: 5%
Round 7: 3%
Undrafted: 9%
This is the only position where talent peaks in the second round...but the elite (Reed, Polamalu) usually come in the first)

Round 1: 2%
Round 2: 3%
Round 3: 9%
Round 4: 9%
Round 5: 5%
Round 6: 6%
Round 7: 9%
Undrafted: 56%
...So when is a good time to draft a Kicker or Punter?..Teams that lost a couple of close games will start looking in the 3rd or 4th...but wise teams resist..the number of drafted kickers or Punters who develop into long lasting NFl players is astonishingly low.

Article that I posted last year...good help for draft geeks to determine value by round.

01-31-2009, 10:06 AM
That kind of interesting thanks for postings

02-02-2009, 05:55 PM
Thanks, that is some good stuff right there. That kind of stuff always interests me also. Its amazing how the Safeties in the 2nd round out numbers the ones in the 1st round by

3rd Round 36%
1st Round 11%

02-03-2009, 12:21 AM
nice find, LLT.

IMO, the steelers need to BPA the 1st round with DL or OL.

i hope they don't draft a WR, TE or RB in the 1st.

02-06-2009, 05:09 AM
Wouldnt bother me at all to see the Steelers select a WR early on in this draft, it never hurts to have alot of nice weapons for Big Ben to throw to. But not in the 1st round. A great return man would be awesome for the Steelers to get in this draft and if it takes a no.1 so be it.

02-07-2009, 12:16 AM
I'd prefer us not to draft anyone other then OL and DL this draft and maybe 1 return specialist for us (maybe 2nd or 3rd round).

Steely McSmash
02-09-2009, 09:17 PM
I'd prefer us not to draft anyone other then OL and DL this draft and maybe 1 return specialist for us (maybe 2nd or 3rd round).

That would be frickin sweet. It'd be a total head turner for all the talking heads.