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CantStop85
01-06-2006, 10:59 PM
Here's the link to the article...I listed the part about the Pittsburgh-Cincinnati game in my post:
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/060106

BENGALS (+3) over Steelers
As far as trilogies go, this one is somewhere between Lewis-Rahman III and Ruiz-Holyfield III. In other words, NFL Films isn't getting the A-team documentary crew ready or anything. With that said, this game gave us the most shocking line of the week (and maybe the whole season); I was 5 points off with my guess on Sunday night. Just five weeks ago, the Steelers were giving 3? to the Bengals in Pittsburgh, lost the game ... and now they're giving 3 in Cincinnati? Huh?????



Anyway, I see three rules from the Manifesto in play here, including ...



Rule No. 2: When in doubt, seek out the popular opinion and go the other way.



Not to keep bringing this up, but Pittsburgh hosted Cincy with its playoff hopes on the line last month, turned the ball over four times and blew the game ... and then San Diego saved their butts the following week by choking at home to the Dolphins. Everyone forgets this now, just like everyone forgets how Roethlisberger choked for two straight weeks in the playoffs last year. But because the Bengals lost a fluky home game to Buffalo two weeks ago (highlighted by a kick-return TD and an interception TD), then rested everyone in a blowout loss to KC last week, suddenly they're reeling and Pittsburgh is fine? Huh??? This line perplexes me. It's vexing. I'm vexed.



Rule No. 7: When in doubt, research special teams and turnovers.



I'm not crazy about Cincy's special teams, but the Bengals forced a league-leading 44 turnovers this season, including four from Pittsburgh in their Dec. 4th game, and if you don't think this stuff matters in the playoffs, you're crazy. Also, if Cowher has a pattern in January, other than the spit freezing in mid-air as it comes flying from his mouth, it's this -- his teams keep blowing winnable games with dumb interceptions, fumbles and special teams miscues. That's their M.O. I don't see why that would change in Cincy.



Rule No. 8: Beware of the Road Favorite.



The oldest rule in the book. If you're going against a good team at home, you better have a really good reason. I'm not crazy about this Bengals team, but what have the Steelers done, really? They lost to the Pats at home, lost to Jacksonville at home, got killed by Indy on the road, lost to Cincy five weeks ago ... what am I missing here? Just because they beat the Browns by 41 points, I'm supposed to take them as a road favorite against an 11-5 team? No thanks.



The Pick: Bengals 28, Steelers 26

Suitanim
01-06-2006, 11:46 PM
LOL...this guy is crazy funny...almost everything he says is either stupid, wrong, or stupid and wrong!

augustashark
01-07-2006, 01:01 AM
Here's the link to the article...I listed the part about the Pittsburgh-Cincinnati game in my post:
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/060106


hey simmons! :moon:

CantStop85
01-07-2006, 01:03 AM
LOL...this guy is crazy funny...almost everything he says is either stupid, wrong, or stupid and wrong!
Yet, you'd consider him intelligent if he were raving about the steelers, wouldn't you? :busted:

stand undefeated
01-07-2006, 01:16 AM
Haha, who cares about this guy's picks or anyone's at that.

If you come to me with Jesus Christ's pick, then we're talking.

Not that i'm much of a religious man, but you get the deal.

Avoid Lloyd
01-07-2006, 11:02 AM
This guy sounds like Boomer.

SteelCityMan786
01-07-2006, 11:17 AM
Hey Simmons! **** YOU *******! The Steeler are GONNA WIN!

RoethlisBURGHer
01-07-2006, 11:34 AM
[quote]The oldest rule in the book. If you're going against a good team at home, you better have a really good reason. I'm not crazy about this Bengals team, but what have the Steelers done, really? They lost to the Pats at home, lost to Jacksonville at home, got killed by Indy on the road, lost to Cincy five weeks ago ... what am I missing here? Just because they beat the Browns by 41 points, I'm supposed to take them as a road favorite against an 11-5 team? No thanks. [quote]

Pats-they were healthy then,and we damn near beat them...and would have if it wasn't for Mr. Lateral.Now look at them,healthy and everyone's picking them or the Colts to win the SB.

Jax-Tommy Maddox,nuff said

Indy-Come one...Indy beat a lot of teams...you taking this seriously?

Cincy-Ben's first game in a month,it's called rust...Ben threw a bunch of picks and we still damn near won the game!

This guy is an ass,I can't wait to beat the Bungles down in Cinci!

tony hipchest
01-07-2006, 11:50 AM
since when did richard simmons start doing football picks? he should stick to crying with fat ladies.

Atlanta Dan
01-07-2006, 12:11 PM
The Sports Guy is LOL funny but I believe he has a particular contempt for Cowher and the Steelers when it comes to the playoffs due to their record against New England.

Simmons' beloved Patriots (read the end of yesterday's linked column where he predicts the Patriots over the Bears in the Super Bowl if you need confirmation that Simmons wants to have Tom Brady's baby) have: smacked the Steelers at home twice in the AFC Championship; beat the Steelers soundly at Foxboro in the playoffs when Tomczak was our QB; and came disturbingly close to winning a playoff game at Three Rivers the next year when Pete Carroll coached the Pats.

Given that perspective Simmons' prediction is understandable although one with which I disagree.

Brady12
01-07-2006, 01:00 PM
I was watching NFL Network last night, and they were saying that KC was a warm-up game, and they didn't to see if they would be able to stop the run, and Larry Johnson ran over them. So they said that Cincinnati might be on the downside i nthe running game, knowing they will have difficultly stopping it. I don't think Cincinnati is ready for this game to be honest, but he if they win, congrats to them.

SteelerDan43
01-07-2006, 02:23 PM
I wouldnt put too much stock in a single persons opinion. There are way to many things that determine the outcome of a game. You can have a good idea but look at the records of the supposed "experts" mediocre at best. Thats why I'll read their opinions but not place my hopes and dreams on the opinion of a guy who when it comes down to it has no real clue how the game will go

MichiSteeler
01-07-2006, 08:13 PM
Heres my point of view:

Willie Parker, Week 7(i think only 7th career start at this point)-
131 yards


Willie Parker, Round 1 Playoffs(somethin career start)-
+knowledge
+experience
+skill
Im guessing 200+?


If we shredded em that bad w/ the run that time? Why not do it again? Big Ben might as well be in the press box, they wont need him throwing at all:grin:

Suitanim
01-08-2006, 08:07 AM
Yet, you'd consider him intelligent if he were raving about the steelers, wouldn't you? :busted:

I might, if he showed any reason to believe that he's actually watched both teams divergent paths since the two last met...one team is playing good solid football RIGHT NOW (not 4 weeks ago), and the other is not. It almost smacks of homerism, because this guy picks the redskins based on their 4 game winning streak and them being hot, and ignores the same exact thing when it's Pittsburgh's streak.