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Vis
09-27-2012, 03:08 PM
There’s no point in putting it gently: Mitt Romney had one of his worst polling days of the year on Wednesday.


It began with a series of polls (http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/09/26/us/politics/20120926-poll.html?ref=politics) from The New York Times, CBS News and Quinnipiac University, released early Wednesday morning, which gave President Obama leads of between 9 and 11 points in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Later in the day, Mr. Romney got polls showing unfavorable numbers for him in Colorado and Iowa.


Unlike many recent days, when Mr. Obama’s national polls were slightly less euphoric than his swing state surveys, Wednesday’s national polls seemed to support the notion that Mr. Obama has a clear lead in the race. The Gallup national tracking poll gave Mr. Obama a six-point lead among registered voters, close to his high mark on the year in that survey. The online tracking poll conducted by Ipsos gave him a six-point lead among likely voters. Another online tracking poll, from the RAND Corporation, put Mr. Obama’s lead at roughly seven and a half percentage points, his largest of the year in that poll. And a national poll for Bloomberg produced by the pollster J. Ann Selzer, who has a strong track record, put Mr. Obama six points ahead.


The exception was the Rasmussen Reports tracking poll, which gave Mitt Romney a two-point lead among likely voters. (This was in the version of the poll that included voters who leaned toward a candidate, which is the one that FiveThirtyEight uses for all surveys.)


What to think of the Rasmussen poll? Their surveys usually have a Republican lean, but it seems to have gotten stronger in the last few weeks. It has also been stronger in some years than others. Rasmussen got reasonably good results in years like 2006 and 2008 when their polls were close to the consensus. However, their polls were the least accurate of the major polling firms (http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/) in 2010, when they had an especially strong Republican house-effect. (http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/22/calculating-house-effects-of-polling-firms/) The same was true in 2000, (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/05/blast-from-rasmussen-past.html) when they had a three- or four-point statistical bias toward Republican candidates. Read more… (http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/27/sept-26-could-2012-be-like-2008/#more-35103)


http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Atlanta Dan
09-27-2012, 03:15 PM
Is this the headline for the presidential campaign or the Steelers season:chuckle:

There is a long way to go for both of them - check back around October 22 (after the debates and the Steelers Sunday night game at Cincinnati) to see if that headline still sticks:chuckle:

Vis
09-27-2012, 03:24 PM
Romney's nowhere near the QB Ben is

Vincent
09-27-2012, 05:04 PM
Over. Just baked. Stick a fork in it.

tpAOwJvTOio

50 years of "great society" expressed in these sanguine tones. What an achievement. You have so much to be proud of.

Oh, and "Romney suck! BAD!".

Fire Haley
09-27-2012, 05:26 PM
Just go Vote


geeze

tony hipchest
09-27-2012, 05:52 PM
Just go Vote


geeze:thumbsup: "rock it, dont c0ck block it!"

vinnies got nothing... reduced to the denigration of ethnics and minorities with meaningless youtube memes.

im sure theres democrats who dont like driving in chinatown either but atleast they dont make such overt racism such a major component of their campaigns and platform. :rolleyes:

Atlanta Dan
09-27-2012, 05:54 PM
Over. Just baked. Stick a fork in it.

tpAOwJvTOio

50 years of "great society" expressed in these sanguine tones. What an achievement. You have so much to be proud of.

Oh, and "Romney suck! BAD!".

So did you get this off Drudge or that radio show you never listen to?:chuckle:

Serious question - where do you live in NC? - I went to school and have family there

Vincent
09-27-2012, 05:58 PM
vinnies got nothing... reduced to the denigration of ethnics and minorities with meaningless youtube memes.

Aw gee Tony, you give me too much credit. Dey denigrate dey sevs aw by dey sevs

G5DTqvX74O4

Jus aht wadder.

im sure theres democrats who dont like driving in chinatown either but atleast they dont make such overt racism such a major component of their campaigns and platform. :rolleyes:

Racism is a component of what campaign?

Vincent
09-27-2012, 06:01 PM
Serious question - where do you live in NC? - I went to school and have family there

I live in Confederate held territory.

http://healthyblackmen.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/redmeat1a.jpg

Atlanta Dan
09-27-2012, 06:05 PM
I live in Confederate held territory.

http://healthyblackmen.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/redmeat1a.jpg

I guess that means you do not live in Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, in which case I guess you would say you live trapped behind enemy lines? :chuckle:

Vis
09-27-2012, 06:57 PM
Obama, Vinnie's President, leads in NC
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html

ricardisimo
09-27-2012, 07:39 PM
Obama, Vinnie's President, leads in NC
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html
I love how Rasmussen has Romney leading, not by a point or a point-and-a-half, but by a larger margin than any of the others place Obama ahead. I guess, you know, if you're going to lie, lie big.

I do appreciate at some level how open Vinny is about his real motivations. That the Confederacy lost is still a sore spot, and that a Negro sits in the White House is unforgivable. Vinny, it's time for you to enter the late 19th or early 20th century. We'll wait for you, just hurry up.