Originally Posted by ricardisimo
May I ask what leads you to believe he will lose?
For a lot of reasons I cannot pretend to know what Vincent believes - but here is as a fun fact
Only one U.S. president has been re-elected since World War II with a jobless rate above 6 percent. Ronald Reagan won a second term with the rate on Election Day 1984 at 7.2 percent, having dropped almost 3 percentage points in the previous 18 months.