The Simple Fact of the Matter - A Pass Rusher Will Fall To Us
Here's what it ultimately boils down to - an elite pass rusher will fall to us at 17. Now, the only question here is who that is going to be. There's many theories and speculation right now might be a little bit premature since this is pre-combine, but the logic is still sound: one of the elite pass rushers is going to fall to us. So, let's look at who the elite pass rushers are in 2013 (in no particular order) -
• Jarvis Jones
• Dion Jordan
• Barkevious Mingo
• Damontre Moore
• Bjoern Werner
• Ezekiel Ansah
Now, it's debatable whether or not we're going to have a choice of at least two of these guys with the possibility of three. Realistically, we can rule out a couple of these guys right now. Jarvis Jones, despite his health concerns, will not fall past the Jets at 9. If there's a blue Moon and a complete eclipse on April 25 and he falls, he won't get past the Saints at 15. Period. Now, Damontre Moore's stock was originally sky-high but it has taken a hit. Even still, I don't see him being available at 17. The same could be said for Bjoern Werner who, again, was impressive in his final season with the Seminoles. If we're going to predict the future by looking in the past, pass rushers will fall. Now, I think Ezekiel Ansah is going to raise his stock and continue to impress at the combine and his pro-day, so I figure he's going to be off the board at 17.
I can see three guys being available to us at 17 -
Dion Jordan, Barkevious Mingo and possibly Damontre Moore depending on whether or not his stock continues to take a hit, but I figure he's going to be off the board by the time we pick. That leaves Bark and Dion as our two choices here. Both are elite pass rushers that need to improve their technique and develop a next-level disengage move while better using their arms, but the potential these two possess are off the charts. I wish I had an answer here, I really do. I just don't know who I'd take. They're both fluid athletes with the same upside and room for improvement. They're roughly the same size and same strength on top of that.
The point is, one of those guys is going to be available to us at 17. I don't think Warmack or Vaccaro will be on the board at 17 so it's down to these two.