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Old 04-22-2007, 06:56 AM   #1
lamberts-lost-tooth
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Default ESPN Defensive Positional Value

Espn has an excellent break down of the percentage of NFL starting players (for the 2006 season) and the round they were drafted in..I thought it was very telling as to what positions have better value in later rounds as opposed to what positions should be drafted higher.

Here is the Defensive Breakdown.


DT
Round 1: 32%
Round 2: 12%
Round 3: 11%
Round 4: 7%
Round 5: 9%
Round 6: 12%
Round 7: 5%
Undrafted: 12%
Seventeen teams start at least one first rounder, including 5 of the 7 3-4 defenses..Jacksonville is the only team that starts two first rounders

DE
Round 1: 41%
Round 2: 17%
Round 3: 9%
Round 4: 11%
Round 5: 5%
Round 6: 3%
Round 7: 5%
Undrafted: 9%
Teams tend to look for game changing DE's in the first round, but there are plenty of quality ends to be found in rounds 2-4...and even later.

ILB
Round 1: 23%
Round 2: 10%
Round 3: 23%
Round 4: 15%
Round 5: 8%
Round 6: 0%
Round 7: 3%
Undrafted: 18%
Value in every round until the 5th...Most lower round starters are guys with smaller size but outstanding instincts like Gary Brackett,London Fletcher-Baker & Zach Thomas.

OLB
Round 1: 27%
Round 2: 17%
Round 3: 16%
Round 4: 16%
Round 5: 8%
Round 6: 6%
Round 7: 3%
Undrafted: 8%
This is the position that follows the most linear downward path from round to round...although stars can be found late...Adalius Thomas, Scott Fujita, Dhani Jones....etc.
* side note* 4 out of 6 OLB's voted to this years Pro Bowl play in a 3-4...and none of them played full-time OLB in college but rather DE or DE/OLB.

CB
Round 1: 36%
Round 2: 27%
Round 3: 13%
Round 4: 14%
Round 5: 0%
Round 6: 3%
Round 7: 2%
Undrafted: 6%
You can find starters after round 1..but rarely after round 4...only Oakland started two first rounders last year...First round busts almost ALWAYS had only one full year as a starter in college.

Safeties
Round 1: 11%
Round 2: 36%
Round 3: 14%
Round 4: 9%
Round 5: 13%
Round 6: 5%
Round 7: 3%
Undrafted: 9%
This is the only position where talent peaks in the second round...but the elite (Reed, Polamalu, Williams) usually come in the first)

Specialists
Round 1: 2%
Round 2: 3%
Round 3: 9%
Round 4: 9%
Round 5: 5%
Round 6: 6%
Round 7: 9%
Undrafted: 56%
Both Superbowl K's (Vinatieri and Gould) were UFA's..and the Punters were a 3rd and 7th rounder...So when is a good time to draft a Kicker or Punter?..Teams that lost a couple of close games will start looking in the 3rd or 4th...but wise teams resist..the number of drafted kickers or Punters who develop into long lasting NFl players is astonishingly low.

Last edited by lamberts-lost-tooth; 04-22-2007 at 07:28 AM.
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