Week 14 Sunday Picks: Packers? Lambeau dominance over Lions should continue (Shutdown

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Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers Green Bay has won 21 of their last 24 meetings with the Lions, including 12 of the 13 meetings since Mike McCarthy was named the Packers' head coach. Detroit has not won in Lambeau Field since Dec. 15, 1991, two weeks after Aaron Rodgers celebrated his eighth birthday. Not sure what Rodgers got when he turned eight, but facing the Lions' banged-up secondary is a belated birthday present this year. Pick: Packers 33, Lions 27 St. Louis Rams at Buffalo Bills The Bills could be catching the Rams at just the right time. After playing the heavily favored 49ers to a tie in Week 10, the Rams lost at home to the Jets by two touchdowns. Coming off a 16-13 overtime win over the 49ers last week, Jeff Fisher should have his team ready to face a Bills team that has been forced to reshuffle its offensive line. Right tackle Chris Hairston landed on injured reserve this week and center Eric Wood is out indefinitely with a partially torn MCL. The Bills may have improved on defense, but their 30th-ranked run defense will have its hands full with a Rams' rushing attack that had averaged 133 yards in the seven games prior to last week's game against the 49ers. Pick: Rams 20, Bills 16 Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Panthers defensive end Greg Hardy isn't a fan of the " team down the street ", who he happens to think his team is better than, even though the Falcons have won the last five meetings between the two teams and eight of the last 10 games overall. "There's a point where you know you're better than someone. We just didn't pull it out," Hardy said on Wednesday via Joseph Person of the Charlotte Observer. "I'm trying to mess up their whole playoff experience. I want them to go home sick in the stomach, mad about life, a couple depression issues, all types of things…It's going to be a long day from my point of view. I'm coming." It's impossible to agree with Hardy, but what's he supposed to say? Given a choice, I'll always take overconfidence over bland pleasantries any day. Pick: Falcons 30, Panthers 21 Dallas Cowboys at Cincinnati Bengals With a groin injury sidelining nose tackle Jay Ratliff, Cowboys opponents have run for 332 yards and three touchdowns the last two weeks. Ratliff did not practice on Wednesday and Thursday and may not be available against the Bengals, who have found their running game during their current four-game winning streak. Free agent addition BenJarvus Green-Ellis has topped 100 yards in the last three games as the Bengals are averaging close to 180 yards on the ground. Pick: Bengals 23, Cowboys 20 Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns Things got a little nasty this week as Browns left tackle Joe Thomas accused current Chiefs and former Browns running back Peyton Hillis of being preoccupied with his contract status during the 2011 season (Hillis was), with Hillis firing back that Thomas was acting like " a crazy ex-girlfriend " (Thomas wasn't). The Browns are not missing Hillis as first round pick Trent Richardson has 827 rushing yards on the season, including 479 over the last five weeks, with seven rushing touchdowns and a team-high 44 receptions.. Pick: Browns 20, Chiefs 10 Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts The Colts have dominated the series, winning 22 of the 35 meetings between the two clubs, including 15 of the last 19. Even without Peyton Manning, the Colts' first win during their 2011 season came against the Titans on Dec. 18, 2011. One year later, the Colts are 8-4 and knocking on the door of the post-season with No. 1 overall pick Andrew Luck entering Week 14 with an AFC-high 3,596 passing yards. Both Luck and Jake Locker could up lofty passing numbers as the two teams rank 29th (Titans) and 30th (Colts) in Football Outsiders pass defense DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average). Pick: Colts 28, Titans 17

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