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Old 09-19-2007, 07:40 PM   #1
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Default ESPN/Bill Simmons NFL Pointspreads Podcast

I trash him for being hopelessly in the tank for the Pats, but Bill Simmons has a pretty good working knowledge of the NFL. If you want some incisive comments on this week's games (or might actually bet, which is, as we all know, illegal ) attached is a link to Simmons and "Cousin Sal" discussing this week's spreads

http://sports.espn.go.com/espnradio/...ast&id=3026348

FWIW, Simmons and Sal have the Steelers as 1 of the top 3 teams right now and Sal thinks they are ahead of the Colts.
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Old 09-19-2007, 08:22 PM   #2
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Default Re: ESPN/Bill Simmons NFL Pointspreads Podcast

I think its a little bit of an overreaction to have the Steelers so high (and sure I know some people have no time for power rankings) after two games against medicore opposition.

I think they are balanced and possibly have the best shot at postseason success out of all the etams in the AFCN - but to put them above the Colts?

Thats a little much at this point - Indy is as smooth as ever on offense and the run D seems closer to the post season 06 effort than the awful regular season 06.

If i had to pick a line to follow this week (for strictly non-betting purposes, of course) it would be Chargers -4.5 - I think they are going to win by 20.
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Old 09-19-2007, 08:36 PM   #3
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Default Re: ESPN/Bill Simmons NFL Pointspreads Podcast

Quote:
Originally Posted by Livinginthe past View Post
I think its a little bit of an overreaction to have the Steelers so high (and sure I know some people have no time for power rankings) after two games against medicore opposition.

I think they are balanced and possibly have the best shot at postseason success out of all the etams in the AFCN - but to put them above the Colts?

Thats a little much at this point - Indy is as smooth as ever on offense and the run D seems closer to the post season 06 effort than the awful regular season 06.

If i had to pick a line to follow this week (for strictly non-betting purposes, of course) it would be Chargers -4.5 - I think they are going to win by 20.
As I have posted elsewhere, it is not the BCS poll where your "ranking" matters, but the Colts win over the Saints looks a lot less impressive after what happened in Tampa Bay and the Colts were fortunate to win in Tennessee.

Simmons will never cut the Colts any slack but it is not as if he is a Steelers homer.
But it of course does not matter - unlike the BCS all good teams will get to compete for the title in January (plus several teams in the NFC who would be sub-.500 in the AFC this year)

FWIW I think you are looking at last year's Packers and Chargers with your Chargers by 20 prediction - that Chargers team has some coaching transition issues and is making another cross country trip after a Sunday night game.
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Old 09-19-2007, 08:40 PM   #4
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Default Re: ESPN/Bill Simmons NFL Pointspreads Podcast

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Originally Posted by Atlanta Dan View Post
As I have posted elsewhere, it is not the BCS poll where your "ranking" matters, but the Colts win over the Saints looks a lot less impressive after what happened in Tampa Bay and the Colts were fortunate to win in Tennessee.

Simmons will never cut the Colts any slack but it is not as if he is a Steelers homer.
But it of course does not matter - unlike the BCS all good teams will get to compete for the title in January (plus several teams in the NFC who would be sub-.500 in the AFC this year)

FWIW I think you are looking at last year's Packers and Chargers with your Chargers by 20 prediction - that Chargers team has some coaching transition issues and is making another cross country trip after a Sunday night game.
Fair points one and all.

I agree that I am basing that prediction based upon last years performance - but alot of key personell remains on both teams.

I think this will be LT's breakout week, Favre will probably throw upward of 3 INT's and he'll get sacked a bunch.

35-13 or something like that.

Being as online gambling is still kosher over here im going to put some money on the Chargers at -4.5
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The Patriots didn't bother with swagger to start this NFL season; they went straight to defiant. Either you're one of them or you're about to get crushed.
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Old 09-19-2007, 08:41 PM   #5
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Default Re: ESPN/Bill Simmons NFL Pointspreads Podcast

Quote:
Originally Posted by Livinginthe past View Post
I think its a little bit of an overreaction to have the Steelers so high (and sure I know some people have no time for power rankings) after two games against medicore opposition.

I think they are balanced and possibly have the best shot at postseason success out of all the etams in the AFCN - but to put them above the Colts?

Thats a little much at this point - Indy is as smooth as ever on offense and the run D seems closer to the post season 06 effort than the awful regular season 06.
If i had to pick a line to follow this week (for strictly non-betting purposes, of course) it would be Chargers -4.5 - I think they are going to win by 20.
didn't indy just almost lose to one of them mediocre teams ??? has tennessee been bumped up too the, "elite" ,ranks during the offseason ???
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