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Old 01-13-2011, 06:38 AM   #1
mesaSteeler
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Default Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens 12/5/2010

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens 12/5/2010
AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview e-mail Email
http://accuscore.com/game-forecast-p...fl/gameid,179/

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 45% of simulations, and the Baltimore Ravens 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 46% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball.

The Baltimore Ravens wins 76% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rashard Mendenhall is averaging 45 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Ray Rice is averaging 50 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (17% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BAL -3 --- Over/Under line is 39.5

'2010 SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Pittsburgh Steelers ATS RECORD Baltimore Ravens ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 6-5-0 All Games 5-5-1 Pittsburgh Steelers
Road Games 3-3-0 Home Games 2-2-0 No Edge
When Underdog 2-1-0 When Favored 3-3-1 Pittsburgh Steelers
Division Opp 2-1-0 Division Opp 1-2-0 Pittsburgh Steelers
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0 No Edge
2009 SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the 2010 Season.
Pittsburgh Steelers ATS RECORD Baltimore Ravens ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 5-9-2 All Games 9-8-1 Baltimore Ravens
Road Games 3-5-0 Home Games 5-3-1 Baltimore Ravens
When Underdog 1-0-0 When Favored 6-4-0 Pittsburgh Steelers
Division Opp 1-4-1 Division Opp 2-3-1 Baltimore Ravens
Opp .500+ Record 4-2-1 Opp .500+ Record 3-6-0 Pittsburgh Steelers
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Pittsburgh Steelers O-U-P RECORD Baltimore Ravens O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 5-6-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 5-6-0 UNDER
On Road 3-3-0 At Home 3-2-0 OVER
All Totals 2009 9-6-1 All Totals 2009 7-10-1 No Edge
On Road 2009 5-3-0 At Home 2009 3-5-0 No Edge

The forecast and trends above do not provide you with AccuScore's industry leading ATS and Totals picks. Join AccuScore.com and learn more about our products.

ADVISOR rates each pick on a 4 Star System.

The Daily Line Report (DLR) provides detailed simulation accuracy trends.

Many leading handicappers relyon Advisor Star Ratings and DLR Trends to maximize accuracy.

(See link for ESPN video link if you wish. - mesa)
http://espn.go.com/blog/afcnorth/pos...avens-steelers
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