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Old 12-10-2009, 02:04 PM   #1
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Default High Draft Picks are overrated

Detroit, Browns and St. Louis are examples of teams that have had high draft choices and still are bad teams.

The Patriots, Colts and Steelers have consistently been a the bottom of the draft and done well. I don't think there is much correlation between high draft choices and great teams.

Having said that I want the Steelers to win out or at least win as many games as they can and to never play for a draft spot. Losers play for draft positions.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:19 PM   #2
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

Well I kinda agree with that. The problem is not with the high draft picks, it's with the teams they are getting drafted to. Let's face it, the teams you mentioned are in need of more than one good draft pick. So teams that are established like the Steelers and Patriots don't really rebuild like the teams you mentioned, they just re-load.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:21 PM   #3
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

[QUOTE=Hayeksheroes;724672]Detroit, Browns and St. Louis are examples of teams that have had high draft choices and still are bad teams.

The Patriots, Colts and Steelers have consistently been a the bottom of the draft and done well. I don't think there is much correlation between high draft choices and great teams.

Having said that I want the Steelers to win out or at least win as many games as they can and to never play for a draft spot. Losers play for draft positions.
[/QUOTE

Teams also trade draft positions up and down, regardless where they stand at the end of the season.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:26 PM   #4
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

If you're referring to this season, didn't the Browns trade out of the first round completely?

Oh, that MANGENIUS!!! He's so brilliant!
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:28 PM   #5
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

I do not judge any person because of other people........
How did the first pick in the 1970 draft turn out........
It was a 1-11 team that drafted first.......
Every man and situation is different.......
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:40 PM   #6
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

Draft picks are not overrated. If you have the right people in the front office, they will rarely make mistakes.
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Old 12-10-2009, 02:47 PM   #7
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

Given the salary cap and what the 32 first round draft picks make, it seems like the best value is from about the 10th to 20th, or maybe even 15th to 25th pick of the draft. If you have a top ten pick and he gets injured or turns out to be a bust, it's going to have a huge negative effect on your cap and your roster for several years.
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Old 12-10-2009, 03:18 PM   #8
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

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Originally Posted by The_WARDen View Post
Draft picks are not overrated. If you have the right people in the front office, they will rarely make mistakes.
Agreed. Those teams don't have good people in the front office, scouts, etc. They choose the wrong people.

Playing on a poor team is certainly a factor though in the success of a pick. It's easier to be successful when you have better talent around you.
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Old 12-10-2009, 03:46 PM   #9
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

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Originally Posted by HughC View Post
Given the salary cap and what the 32 first round draft picks make, it seems like the best value is from about the 10th to 20th, or maybe even 15th to 25th pick of the draft. If you have a top ten pick and he gets injured or turns out to be a bust, it's going to have a huge negative effect on your cap and your roster for several years.
^^ This.

If you have a top-5 pick, you're basically screwed, because you have to pay one guy $10 million a year and you don't know whether he's going to be any good or not. And you probably have a top-10 pick from last year making close to that too.

Meanwhile, you've got six or seven other positions where you need help, but two guys are eating up a sixth of your cap space.

I think right around the 15th pick is the sweet spot. High enough that not all the top talent is picked over, low enough that you don't have to waste several million dollars based on hype. And honestly, players from the top of the first round to the middle of the second round all tend to have a pretty good success rate. I'd be surprised if there was that much difference.
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Old 12-10-2009, 05:02 PM   #10
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Default Re: High Draft Picks are overrated

If you can pick the right person, and know how to build a football team, then you can have success with high picks.

Too many teams take a QB with that high pick when they don't have an offensive line in front of him that can protect him.

That would be fine, if the team would let that QB sit for a season or two and let him develop. Throw him in at the end of blowout losses so he can see the speed of a regular season football game.

But instead the cave to pressure from the fans and throw the QB in too soon.
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