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Old 04-26-2013, 01:50 PM   #1
desertsteel
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Default Better value in 2nd-round picks

A study conducted by Worcester Polytechnic Institute says there's more value for second-round draft picks than first-rounders.

The analysis of the past 13 seasons shows that second-rounders provide 70 percent of the production of first-round picks but at just 40 percent of the salary.

"That's a significant value and it tells me that general managers should give more value to second- and third-round picks," said Craig Wills, the head of WPI's Department of Computer Science.

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The study by WPI students Casey Barney, Anthony Caravella, Michael Cullen and Gary Jackson also concluded that the Pittsburgh Steelers have been the most cost-effective team in the draft since 2000. The Indianapolis Colts and Green Bay Packers are next, while the St. Louis Rams and Cleveland Browns ranked as least efficient.

As part of the study, WPI researchers developed a football metric called Appearance Score, a weighted combination of games played, games started and recognition as a top player. Highlighting the value of non-first-round picks, two of the top three players in Appearance Score last season were sixth-round draft picks in 2012: Washington running back Alfred Morris and Minnesota kicker Blair Walsh.

Third in the Appearance Score was Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III, who went on to win Offensive Rookie of the Year after being selected second overall in the draft.

In addition to team rankings, researchers focused on positions, and found that safeties provide the greatest value to teams.

Players expected to be selected in the second round of Friday's draft include quarterbacks Geno Smith, Matt Barkley and Ryan Nassib along with linebacker Manti Te'o and running back Eddie Lacy.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/draft2013/sto...s-1st-rounders
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Old 04-26-2013, 01:57 PM   #2
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks

We may be the most cost-effective team but it's definitely not because of our second round picks...
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Old 04-26-2013, 02:57 PM   #3
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks

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We may be the most cost-effective team but it's definitely not because of our second round picks...
We have had some pretty good second rounders since 2000:

Marvel Smith
Kendrell Bell
Randle El
Woodley

And I like Gilbert and Adams. JW may also turn out to be a stud.

Yeah we had Limas in there but overall more hits and OK's than misses.
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Old 04-26-2013, 04:20 PM   #4
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks

But our round 2 misses in recent years have been complete, no longer on our team, whiffs. I have faith in tonight though. There are just so many value players on the board and there are some boom or bust too. I think of Lattimore. This guy would have been a Top 5 pick. If he is healthy, as he says he is, and we just grabbed LaRod, man could that be a great 2nd round pick for us. This is the 3rd thread I've posted about Howlings and Lattimore so I won't again but I still think it's interesting to think that was their strategy.
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Old 04-26-2013, 04:23 PM   #5
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks

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Originally Posted by austinfrench76 View Post
But our round 2 misses in recent years have been complete, no longer on our team, whiffs. I have faith in tonight though. There are just so many value players on the board and there are some boom or bust too. I think of Lattimore. This guy would have been a Top 5 pick. If he is healthy, as he says he is, and we just grabbed LaRod, man could that be a great 2nd round pick for us. This is the 3rd thread I've posted about Howlings and Lattimore so I won't again but I still think it's interesting to think that was their strategy.
Lattimore will drop to the 3rd, maybe even 4th round... no need to jump so high on him.
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Old 04-26-2013, 04:49 PM   #6
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks

More reason to stand pat and draft BPA in the second round.
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Old 04-26-2013, 05:03 PM   #7
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks



Allright, I'm ready to go get our value!!!
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Old 04-26-2013, 05:34 PM   #8
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks

Brown, Minter, Cyprien, Woods, Allen, Lacey
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Old 04-26-2013, 05:48 PM   #9
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks

Damn! Cyprien gone already!
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Old 04-26-2013, 06:03 PM   #10
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Default Re: Better value in 2nd-round picks

On the pre-draft shows they talked about this. There were 60 players at the Pro Bowl that were NOT drafted in the first round. Amazing!
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